Institute for Fiscal Studies says nearly all workers will end up paying more tax despite Chancellor's Spring Statement claims
Rishi Sunak has been branded a “fiscal illusionist” by the Institute for Fiscal Studies as the claims made in the Spring Statement began to unravel.
The IFS said nearly all workers will end up paying more tax on their earnings despite the Chancellor’s claim to be delivering the “biggest net cut to personal taxes in over a quarter of a century.”
Amid a growing Tory backlash over the tax rises, the independent research institute said the gains from Mr Sunak’s plan to raise the thresholds for paying National Insurance and the 1p income tax cut in 2024 would be wiped out by his previous tax rises, which were confirmed in the Statement.
A median earner on £27,500 a year will be £360 worse off next financial year and someone earning £40,000 will be £800 worse off, according to the IFS. The analysis was backed by the Resolution Foundation, which suggested seven out of eight employees will pay more tax.
Paul Johnson, IFS director, said: “Mr Sunak has proved to be something of a fiscal illusionist. He told us that he cut taxes yesterday. In a sense he did. He increased the floor for NICs and promised a cut in income tax in 2024. So Mr Sunak’s statement contained big new tax cuts.
“But it also allowed taxes to rise. He can now expect to raise more in tax as a share of national income by 2025 than he expected last October. In fact, taxes are set to rise to their highest level as a fraction of national income since Clement Attlee was prime minister.”
Tory MPs urged Mr Sunak to bring forward tax cuts or risk damaging the Conservative’s reputation for fiscal prudence.
Former Tory leader Sir Iain Duncan Smith said: “People are still paying more tax even than he announced last year. That is costing them a lot of money. He has tightened fiscally too much and he needs to think beyond where he is now.”
Another former Cabinet minister said: “The possible 1p off income tax before the next election is an attempt to conceal the fact that we have the biggest ever rise in the tax burden from 33.3 per cent 36 per cent of GDP. That’s massive. My view is that Rishi is not a tax cutting chancellor and people will see that. Unless he changes, his reputation as a tax cutter deteriorates from here.”
